The Truth About Gas Prices
These are the facts. Now, the most common given reason for these gas prices is supply and demand. Supply in demand is theoretic concept that's used very broadly. The logic behind it is pretty simple. You have a commodity that is limited in quantity. The more people buy of that item, the cost will rise to equalize the amount of that commodity being produced and the amount being sold. That's the whole point, basically.
When it comes to oil and gas, it is extremely difficult to create a supply problem. That's the reality in the matter. In our current situation, there is absolutely no supply problem. Period, the end. The only problem is 8 out of 149 refineries are down, and 10% of oil drilling rigs in the gulf are down. I'll address both "issues."
First off, the oil. 10% is nothing when you're talking about oil production. Millions and millions of gallons of oil are produced every day. They lose 100,000 barrels out of every million a day. This could be an issue, but Bush released oil from the strategic reserves. So actual oil isn't a problem at all.
So therefor, the reason there is an alleged demand for gas is because of refining difficulties. Think about this scenario. You own a business, and you have 149 employees. Let's say 8 of your employees quit in one day. Would you panic? Would you be out of business? Would you have a serious problem? Of course not. 8 out of 149 is nothing. The fact of the matter is, there is no real problem in creating gas from oil.
These are both small issues in relativity to the massive oil and gasoline industry. That is the truth of this matter, and people need to get informed and realize it, and then do something about it. These are small problems, yes, but these problems are nowhere near cause to raise gas prices $0.80 across the nation. Nowhere even close to cause. Maybe if they lost 40 refineries and 60 rigs, I would definitely understand these prices. The oil companies obviously have to stay in business. But in a time of national crisis, they do not need to not only maintain their massive profits, but they also do not need to capitalize on a natural disaster.
And this is where legislation is needed. I'm all for capitalism and free market, but I believe it should be absolutely illegal to capitalize on a natural disaster. It's one thing to capitalize on drug addicts when you invest thousands of dollars into a drug company. It's another thing when you're investing in a company that is robbing the entire nation, lying to them, misleading them, and absolutely taking unfair and far beyond acceptable and understandable advantage of the 3rd main necessity of life. Food, water, and gas. Without gas, you can't drive. Without driving, you're not making money. Unless you're lucky enough to live in a big city, which most Americans do not.
That's the truth of it all. There is no oil problem. There is no refining problem. And there certainly isn't a supply problem. However, there is indeed a demand problem. Gasoline is in very high demand right now, and people are buying a lot. The only reason this is true is because the oil companies created this demand. They are the ones who created a demand problem, not Katrina. They raised their prices $0.50 overnight and they threw America into a frenzy, and every person with half a brain filled up their tank with the "cheap" gas because everyone knew at that point that it was going to keep going higher and higher. It's an effort to save money, not an effort to necessarily hoard gas. Gas is not a precious commodity. Cheap gas, by comparison of course, is a precious commodity. They created the demand, and they should have absolutely no problem supplying it. Outside of the hurricane affected areas, that is.
Now, for the argument winner. Indisputable proof. Now, I know most people don't know a whole lot about the stock market. It's a confusing concept really, and most people don't know a lot about it. The way it works is, a company basically "goes public" and has a stock offering, which basically allows the public to buy tiny portions of the company. The more money this company makes, the more valuable that stock becomes. When you sell that stock at an increased value, you make money. That's the way it works, basically.
With that being said, let's talk about oil stocks. If there really was a supply problem, if there really was a demand problem, how would an oil or gas company's stock chart look like? The market hates uncertainty. If you own a stock, and the industry that the stock belongs to is going through a crisis, you will generally want to sell that stock as soon as possible. You don't want to take a chance of losing thousands and thousands of dollars on a stock that is in the middle of a crisis. You want to sell it all as soon as possible. Some people are willing to take chances for the hope of becoming rich, but most people don't really want to fuck around with their hard earned money. Trading stocks isn't gambling.
So of course, if there really was a crisis, you would see the dozens upon dozens of oil and gas company stock plummeting. Anyone who owned stock before Katrina would be selling it off right away if there really was a crisis. But there isn't one. There is no crisis and there is no supply and demand problem. There is a fictional crisis that is nothing but a reason that the common American will believe so they can raise the prices on the 3rd most essential need to the American life. People need it. They can really sell it for as high as they want without any regulation. We need it, and we'll pay whatever price to buy it. We need it to make our own money.
So with all of this being said, let's take a look at a few oil and gas stocks from today. These are 5 day charts that show the last day of "low" prices and the beginning of absurd prices. The "low" prices were still there on Tuesday, August 30th. The high prices came the very next day, August 31st. Let's take a look at ConocoPhillips, ExxonMobil, Halliburton (the company Dick Cheney was the CEO of before running for vice president), Murphy Oil (Sold at most Super Wal-Marts), Shell (Who drills their own oil and refines their own oil), and BP (Amoco stations are owned by BP as well).






How about that, huh? The stocks are the complete opposite of what logic would dictate. I mean, people aren't worried about buying oil and gas stocks at all. Not in the least. These companies are making the biggest profits in their company history. Every single one of them, this is the highest their stock has ever been. Ever. I wonder why that is? Because many many more people know the truth. They know the truth and they fucking love it. They invest all of their savings into this company, sell it, and they get rich off of every American being raped at the gas pump. These are capitalist pigs with no soul who don't think twice about the moral consequences of profiting from a company who is lying, misleading, and flat out stealing from every American. These capitalist fucks aren't bitching about gas. Why would they? They're getting rich off it and they are no better than the looters of New Orleans. And that's the truth. At least they're poor and stealing. It's much worse to be rich and steal.
Am I the only one who is looking at these charts without dollar signs in my eyes? I mean, I don't understand why this isn't a news story. Actually, I do know why. It's because the elitist capitalists who own oil stocks in this country don't give a shit about me or you. They only care about their investments being doubled or tripled, and getting rich off of our suffering. That's all they care about. I guarantee that there are thousands and thousands of people who are absolutely ecstatic about these gas prices. Why wouldn't they be? They're getting rich. This is how you get rich quick. Sell your soul, and profit. Well I don't fucking do that.
So when you're at the gas station, being robbed of your money by greedy capitalist pigs, just know that they're just as bad as the lying stealing motherfuckers running these companies. It's a big scam, and all of these companies are in on it. There is no crisis, there is no shortage, there is no supply and demand issues. There is only a fake demand issue created by the oil companies to increase shareholder value. And no ones talking about it, because no one knows except for those keeping the secret because their riches and investments depend on it. Well, my income depends on gas prices and I'm fucking irate.
This is wrong, all wrong. The proof is in the stock charts. If you don't believe me, just look at the charts. They don't lie. It's all bullshit, and it seems I am the only one on the planet who is digging into this and using my brain to expose the bullshit. When gas was still at $2.57, I was asking where the rioting was. It's now well over $3.00 in every area. This happened in two days' time, and there's still no rioting. I'm disappointed in my pacified nation. They'll cross the line eventually. In the mean time, only one thing can stop the gouging and the overall overcharging of a necessary item, and that's legislation. So Congress, President Bush, where do you stand on the matter?
No comment, of course. Bush was asked by Diane Sawyer what he thought of oil companies giving up 20% of their profits for the cause of benefiting the entire nation. What was his response? He didn't fucking give one, of course. He shamelessly and completely dodged the question. He didn't even acknowledge the subject, and started talking about the generosity of corporations as a whole. He completely dodged it. What else would you expect from a President who is this connected to the oil and gas industry? He owned a fucking oil drilling company for Christ's sake. Halliburton is the richest of all of those companies whose stock charts I displayed, and Dick Cheney was the fucking CEO of that company until 2000. I'm not making any accusations, but the fact of the matter is they are connected to the oil and gas industry and this fact is a conflict of interest. How can we expect our elected president to do the only thing possible to stop these absolutely thieving soulless oil and gas corporations from stealing our money when he is directly connected to that very same industry? I'd suspect he needs a job after 2008.
So in the end, we suffer. You've seen all of the proof. No oil shortage, no real refinery problems, no supply problems, a demand problem created by the industry itself, and a president who has the only power in this nation to do something about it will not ever do a thing about it. You've seen the charts and you've seen the truth. We're beyond fucked. All we can do is sit here and get raped at the pump. Drivers and Truckers' lives will be completely torn apart by these prices, and everyone else will have to cut back on a few things and pay more for everything you buy from somewhere that is effected by these gas prices. Everyone loses, some of us a lot more than others (like myself), and the oil and gas companies as well as the investors who own their stock will become extremely rich. America: Home of the greedy soulless corporations, Land of the fucked consumer. The rich get richer while the poor get poorer. I'm ashamed that this is the sad reality of our great nation. 2008 can't come quickly enough as far as I'm concerned. Bush has completely lost my support on everything, and for the first time in my life, I'm in the left-wing agreement. Bush is an asshole and he should be impeached. When my financial life is being ruined because of his inaction, that's when I stop supporting him. When I'm reduced to a poverty level income overnight, that's when I stop supporting his goofy monkey ass. Any driver or trucker will feel the same way, assuming they're informed.
And with all of this said, I leave you with one last image. A 35 year stock chart, dating back all the way to 1970 that shows the ExxonMobil's stock prices over the past 35 years. You be the judge. It speaks for itself. A gas crisis, a supply crisis, a demand crisis, and a distribution process does not create 35 year record highs for stock prices. Only gouging a national crisis can do that. Only duping the entire public into accepting this utter bullshit and actually not having your businesses burned down can create this delightful effect. Say hello to your money, everybody. It's right there on the chart.

6 Comments:
"First off, the oil. 10% is nothing when you're talking about oil production. Millions and millions of gallons of oil are produced every day. They lose 100,000 barrels out of every million a day. This could be an issue, but Bush released oil from the strategic reserves. So actual oil isn't a problem at all."
There is enough oil left in the earth to produce about 1 trillion barrels of oil. The world uses about 80 million barrels per day. At the current rate there would be only enough oil to sustain the planet for another 35 years under the best of scenarios. This is a "problem." To you, 35 years might seem like a long time, but in reality it is not. It was just about 15 years ago when gas topped the $1.00 mark. Now in just twice that time we could have NO gas.
You can't base this argument on a daily basis. Oil does not grow on trees. These numbers you quote will not stay the same throughout the years. Eventually we will run out.
"With that being said, let's talk about oil stocks. If there really was a supply problem, if there really was a demand problem, how would an oil or gas company's stock chart look like? The market hates uncertainty."
You proved the opposite point you wanted to here. You say the stock market hates uncertainty. You are exactly right. Was there any uncertainty in your mind that the price of gas would increase? NO! We all knew the price would go up. You don't have to be a rocket scientist there. With that being said, these people knew what would happen and took advantage of it. It is not because they know all of the facts. It is because they knew it was a sure thing.
"Trading stocks isn't gambling."
Yes it is. You take your chances.
"How about that, huh? The stocks are the complete opposite of what logic would dictate. I mean, people aren't worried about buying oil and gas stocks at all. Not in the least. These companies are making the biggest profits in their company history. Every single one of them, this is the highest their stock has ever been. Ever. I wonder why that is?"
It was a sure thing, Matt. I wish I would have had enough money to put in and let it ride. I bet everyone who reads this site knew the price of gas would go up. It is not the "opposite of what logic would dictate." It is exactly what logic dictates.
"So when you're at the gas station, being robbed of your money by greedy capitalist pigs, just know that they're just as bad as the lying stealing motherfuckers running these companies."
These "greedy capitalist pigs" aren't upping the prices of gas. They are just capitalizing on it. I personally do not see anything wrong with that. If you were to play a slot machine at a casino that payed out at a 99% ratio to win, would you be a "greedy capitalist pig?" No! You would be managing your money wisely. It is the same thing. You would be making money at someone else's expense.
"No comment, of course. Bush was asked by Diane Sawyer what he thought of oil companies giving up 20% of their profits for the cause of benefiting the entire nation."
It is not wise to respond to a question like this without going over it with your economic advisors. If he were to say yes, what would the ramifications have been? If all of the American oil companies dropped there prices 20% the supply would drop much quicker. Matt, you can't deny that. If the supply in America is not low, why do we import over half of our oil? We cannot supply our own demand therefore we have to get oil from other countries. When we start getting low on our own supply then we would become completely dependant on OPEC. They could then set whatever price they want to. American oil companies have to stay at the same prices as OPEC or it will diminish our supply, and then we will really be complaining about the prices.
"When my financial life is being ruined because of his inaction, that's when I stop supporting him. When I'm reduced to a poverty level income overnight, that's when I stop supporting his goofy monkey ass."
You said in a previous post you didn't care about the poor people who could not get out of New Orleans because you said it was there fault they were poor to begin with. Does the same apply to you? Do you change your attitude about the poor now? The shoe can switch to the other foot in a hurry. This is why you should always think about what you say.
Respectfully disagreeing,
PJ
PJ, I'm shocked by your logic here. I really am. And I knew I was going to get an argument from a capitalist. See, your credibility on this issue is completely degraded because you see no problem in capitalizing on people who are being robbed and raped at the pump for your own personal gain. Like I said, I understand free market and capitalism. I also understand morality. It's absolutely wrong to capitalize on suffering. Now, let me rebut your points.
You're just not thinking deeply enough, and that's the problem here. No one is. The truth is right in front of everyone's face, and no one is digging in enough. I'll explain why you're wrong.
You're claiming that the reason those stock charts are looking that way is because everyone knew they were going up, and logic actually dictates that they would indeed go up. This is bullshit. Complete bullshit.
Prices are rising because of a non existent crisis. There is no crisis, there is no supply problem, and there is no demand problem. They're using this excuse to raise those prices, creating that incentive to buy the stocks.
There ya go. I have no idea how to lay it out any clearer for you. Yes, I know it's capitalism. But the fact of the matter is there is no legitimate reason for price gouging of this magnitude. There's no reason. They simply raised their prices, and everyone who could see through the bullshit got a heads up to that fact.
You simply cannot justify a raising the price of gas $0.80 per gallon overnight in the wake of a hurricane. It is nothing but a fictional reason to raise those prices, and investors simply see through the bullshit unlike the majority of the public. This is the rich getting richer while the poor get poorer. It's like an elite little club. Shhh, everybody keep our secret. It's shit dude, and you should know this.
You talk about an oil crisis that doesn't exist. Get real, man. In 35 years, we will be far and beyond oil and gasoline. In 10-15 years, we'll have hydrogen powered cars. We have the technology, it's only a matter of converting from gas stations to hydrogen stations. That's quite a big challenge, but it won't take 35 years to achieve. Nowhere near. We already have hybrids, and they're wildly popular. Oil is a dying industry and they're raping it while they can. Trust me, we're moving beyond oil in this modern era we live in.
No matter what you say, losing 10% of your production and 8 out of 149 refineries does not equal pricing of this magnitude. It's only an excuse to grow shareholder value, and it's shit. Investors do not deserve a return on that investment when it's coming from companies who are gouging the entire American public on the 3rd basic necessity of life.
You say it was a sure thing, but it was only a sure thing to investors who knew that 10% and 8 out of 149 would be nothing. It was a sure thing to those who could see through the bullshit. Do you think the average, or even the above average American knows any of this? Of course not, PJ. They can do this because the public is uninformed.
Again, it is not what "logic" would dictate. The main reason given for these prices is supply and demand. That's a fictional reason, and I've clearly pointed that out. The logic I speak of isn't the logic of the informed investor, but of the majority. The informed American, that is.
It is absolutely wrong to capitalize on this atrocity. This atrocity being the oil and gas companies absolutely raping the entire American public, charing absolutely absurd prices for gas. You take all of the human emotion out of this, PJ. You personify my points when I say these companies and these investors have no soul. And your analogy on the casinos just doesn't make much sense. What would make more sense is if that money you would win in that slot machine was stolen money, taken from the middle and poor classes of America, who were lied to and decieved into putting money into that machine. They played that machine when the odds were 1%, and now it's 99%. But only to a couple people. That's a bit more accurate, wouldn't you say?
And as for your defense of Bush, you're completely out of touch with the feeling of the average American. This scumbag president doesn't say anything without someone's advisory. Bush was elected, not his advisors. I expect him to answer these questions, even if he's put on the spot. He owes that to the American public.
The supply from America is low because North America simply doesn't have very many oil reserves. Compared with the rest of the nation, we don't have nothing. Guess who has the most oil reserves? The Saudis. Even Venezuela has more than us. It's just a matter of luck that one of the biggest economies in the world happens to be in a place without many oil reserves.
I wasn't talking about 19 year olds who are in that point in their life where they're trying to figure out what they're doing for a career. I'm talking about black women without fathers who have 6 kids. I was talking about the people who decided not to goto college, the people who dropped out of school. That's who I was talking about when I spoke of the people who made poor choices in their life, and as a result are poor. Come on, PJ. I expect you to think deeper than this.
And I am by no stretch, poor. I could be poor if things don't change fast. I still have nearly a grand in the bank, which isn't bad for a 19 year old with a large car payment every month. Also, I didn't say I was poor at all. I said I was reduced to a "poverty level income." I, unlike the poor people I was speaking of, will do whatever I have to do so I do not become poor. And because I might have to do that, I am pissed. I am pissed that I might have to switch from a job I love and a job I'm good at because of corporate greed, completely fucking over our nation.
Nice try PJ, but I'm definitely glad you commented and I'm glad I had a chance to defend my argument.
Matt -
THere is about to be a big supply problem here in Pennsylvania. Our govenor Ed Rendell (who is an idiot)is talking about stepping in and rationing gas.
Cupcake.
"It is nothing but a fictional reason to raise those prices, and investors simply see through the bullshit unlike the majority of the public."
Did anybody who reads this site not believe the gas prices would increase? I'm guessing you all did. The "majority of the public" I believe knew gas prices would go up.
"You talk about an oil crisis that doesn't exist. Get real, man. In 35 years, we will be far and beyond oil and gasoline. In 10-15 years, we'll have hydrogen powered cars. We have the technology, it's only a matter of converting from gas stations to hydrogen stations. That's quite a big challenge, but it won't take 35 years to achieve. Nowhere near."
Matt, the last 7 presidents have been trying to use alternative fuel. All we have so far are hybrids that still use gas. I know you will hate to hear this, but you are too young to understand what 35 years means. That is not a personal knock on you. It is just a fact. I remember in the 80's everyone thought in the year 2000 we would have cars that hovered. Not quite there yet.
"Oil is a dying industry and they're raping it while they can."
Are you saying its a crisis?
"You say it was a sure thing, but it was only a sure thing to investors who knew that 10% and 8 out of 149 would be nothing. It was a sure thing to those who could see through the bullshit. Do you think the average, or even the above average American knows any of this? Of course not, PJ. They can do this because the public is uninformed."
Again, I ask everyone who reads this. Did you think gas prices would increase?
"What would make more sense is if that money you would win in that slot machine was stolen money, taken from the middle and poor classes of America..."
Have you been to a casino, Matt? It IS the middle and poor classes. These people work hard for their money and then throw it away every night hoping they will get rich quick. A lot of these people lose their families over this. If I win the money they have put into that casino (money they have lost their family over) does it make me a capitalist pig?
"They played that machine when the odds were 1%, and now it's 99%. But only to a couple people."
Did you not know gas prices would go up? If you did, you had the oportunity to put money into their stocks. You chose not to. Don't blame the people who did. It is an open market.
"The supply from America is low because North America simply doesn't have very many oil reserves. Compared with the rest of the nation, we don't have nothing. Guess who has the most oil reserves? The Saudis. Even Venezuela has more than us."
Again, you state my argument. We do not have enough supply.
"I wasn't talking about 19 year olds who are in that point in their life where they're trying to figure out what they're doing for a career. I'm talking about black women without fathers who have 6 kids. I was talking about the people who decided not to goto college, the people who dropped out of school. That's who I was talking about when I spoke of the people who made poor choices in their life, and as a result are poor. Come on, PJ. I expect you to think deeper than this."
Come on, Matt, I expect you to think deeper than this. When are you going to decide what you want to do for the rest of your life? Will it be next month? Next year? Maybe 5 years? What if in your journey to find all of the answers, time catches up to you, and you realize you are a 30 year old pizza delivery guy? Right now you are a 19 year old who thinks he knows everything. You are very intelligent, but you need to realize that you do not learn everything through reading. You can't understand the complexes of war by reading "War and Peace." Again, I am not knocking your age, it is just a fact of life.
I hate to burst your bubble, but a grand in the bank? Matt, how long will that last you? That couldn't pay your expenses for a month on a thousand dollars. If you were to lose your job tomorrow it would probably take atleast a week to get another one. After not getting paid for the first three weeks, we are now at a month. You would be broke. You would be poor. You might lose your car. Then you would be in these peoples position. You are a week away from being these people, Matt. Don't look down on them.
I do agree gas prices should not have skyrocketed like they did, but we all saw it coming. Don't get mad at the people who were able to get some of their money back.
PJ
Well I have to disagree with a couple of points.
1. There is a shortage and problem with Gas refineries it isnt a farce. You had 148 refineries running at 98% capacity and have been for years. that leaves 256% capacity leeway (148 X 2). Now take away the 8 that have been damaged (8 X 98) and it becomes obvious the others cannot make up the slack. We have needed more refineries for years and it has been a hot issue and the main reason thta gas prices have steadily climbed. So the crisis isnt manufactured.
2. The price of oil perse has not really increased that much it is the price of gas and it isnt coming from the top level. The huge increases we have seen has been from station owners who have raised the prices because they arent sure when they are going to get anymore. It is wrong and it is illegal. It is called price gouging but the feds have their hands full right now.
3. The stock market is strong in oil speculation because there is a high demand for it. These companies are gauranteed to have plenty of product to sell and the pirce of oil is high now so there is no reason for the stock to dip whether there is a shortage or not. Stocks are a guess at what the market will do in the future and the demand for gas is high. Even if gas prices came back down somewhat the stock will probably stay high for a while because the demand is strong. BTW look at your last chart at approximately the time of our last gas crisis in the late 70s youll notice no drop there either. Gas stocks are almost bulletproof and crisis only makes them stronger. The only thing that would hurt them is if a company completely lost its ability to produce allotgether.
4. As for Bush I tend to agree idealogically with him moire than I do the Dems but I dont believe any of our leaders have our best interests at heart. Call me a cynic.
P.S. Just to let you know I own stock in Mobil. It was a company perk when I wrote software for them some years ago and it has proved to be the best thing that came from that job. I think the prices suck though. It cost me 75 bucks to fill up yesterday.
Our gas prices went down 30 cents yesterday.
Well said, James.
PJ
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